Premier League odds and betting tips

Photo of author
Written By Maya Cantina

Back young king Cole to spread a bit of festive cheer our way today.

Chelsea fans are on the naughty list and getting the Premier League equivalent of a lump of coal and a thick ear: Christmas Eve in Wolverhampton.

Judging by some bleak midwinter forecasts for road and rail travel, second prize is: Christmas Day in Wolverhampton.

I don’t much fancy punting a Blues WIN at Wolves (1pm) at a slimline 10/11.

At one point it seemed Chelsea had all the players, now they’ve hardly got any. Down to bare bones before the turkey’s even defrosted, with 10 major absentees.

That 25-goal striker they forgot to buy is also a no-show, and the brilliant Enzo Fernandez was subbed off ‘poorly’ in midweek, so will probably start in a 3-5-2 at home in his onesie, with some eggy soldiers.

The Blues squad still looks different gravy here man for man.

Cole Palmer, 21, has hit a 6/4 ‘anytime scorer’ return all told this season, and is odds-on ‘score or assist’ when starting. The lad’s on pens, a serious bonus today. Going into this Prem round, Chelsea topped the table for earning penalties and Wolves for conceding them.

Get on Palmer at 13/5 ‘anytime scorer’ and 6/4 (both Paddy) ‘score or assist’.

Chelsea are the unluckiest side in the Premier League – or at least the most out-of-whack when you compare ‘expected’ returns to reality.

Expected-goals data varies on a boffin-by-boffin basis, of course. But most agree Chelsea are about eight points down on where they deserve to be for Mauricio Pochettino.

They are top-six on expected points – and 5/2 (Betway, Paddy) for a ‘top-six finish’ in the real world has legs.

Europe has got Christmas off, but Jude Bellingham’s Real Madrid could be the Champions League outright value at 6/1 (Betway), after getting a soft last-16 draw.

It’s not Christmas without the Betting Spy ‘never work again’ Boxing Day Acca. Ignore the obvious implied flaw that it’s never won.

Take ‘Newcastle win to nil’ (12.30pm); OVER 3.5 goals at Bournemouth; Carlton Morris ‘scores a header’ at Sheffield United; Dominik Szoboszlai ‘scores from outside box’ at Burnley; and Scott McTominay ‘scores a header’ at Old Trafford. The roll-up pays 12,182/1 (Bet365) in theory. Merry Christmas!

Last week: Winners at 11/10 and 6/5

Source

Leave a Comment

dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus dus